POLYLAYER app
Built for prediction markets
342 users went through private testing, $47.3M routed in the first month. Four strategy templates, customization across capital sizes.
Agent signals now factor in session-level mispricing. Windows resolving in the first 30 minutes of the US session show +4 points of hit rate.
When funding on a BTC perp on Hyperliquid diverges from the implied probability of the corresponding Polymarket window, the agent flags it as an edge signal.
Added a second resolve model on top of the pre-print scanner. Factors in order flow in the final 200ms and filters cases where a sharp spot move cancels the expected outcome. Hit rate on filtered entries climbed to 76.9%.
Active classification graph expanded from 127 to 184. New cluster "asymmetric directional" — entry precision above 82%.
Aggressive template now scales down position size after two consecutive losses and restores after two consecutive wins. Drawdown profile improved.
Conservative and Mirror templates temporarily disabled on SOL 15-minute windows due to thin liquidity. Aggressive and Late-window remain active.
Triggers now fire only against calendar events (FOMC, CPI, NFP, major listings). Hit rate climbed from 47.3% to 64.1%.
Extended history with filtering by signal type, asset, template, time window. CSV export for independent analysis.
Active windows, open positions and latency monitoring reworked for mobile. Push notifications configurable at granular level.
Following bottleneck analysis in peak hours, median fill latency improved from 67ms to 64ms.